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20th April
2009
written by spread bettor

On the last article Simon Grifin from Share magazine has recommended to sell the FTSE 100 at 3950. He called the latest rally as typical bear rally or in other words false rally. By the time I was reading his article the FTSE 100 was around 4100 and the Dax was 4650. Then came Friday and markets continue to move up around 0.5%

All of these put my Dax 4000 Put for May call value on the lowest you can imagine (6 points when I bought it for 36). This wasn’t good. I was speaking with my friend that holds the same positions and both of us agreed that the market is almost on its peak and the only way is down.

So we checked to buy the Dax 4400 Put for May. The price was 66 around 17:00. I though that if the Dow will finish on high note then the option will be worth 60 or less and I will buy it. But I forgot to check. You know Friday evening is not the best time to deal.

Anyway it touched 62 and the weekend has started. A new week and the markets again see red. The Dax lost 190 points in one day. This means two things:

1) My 4000 Put worth 34 now (300% in one day)

2) 4400 put that I didn’t buy worth around 125 (100% in one day)

All I can do is blame myself. I knew that the market will go down but combination of tiredness and fear of losing more prevented me to take a huge profit. Another painful lesson has been learned.

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