Posts Tagged ‘Citi’

No.

Both Citi and Bank of America were down heavily today because fresh fears of the ‘N’ word – nationalisation. And there is a good chance that this will happen. But those shares are already 90% from their peek. So not a lot left for the brave shorters.

Take a look Citi. At 2.51 you have 251 to gain. If they are going down they are all yours. But you have to remember that the government is not very keen doing so. If investors will think that it won’t happen then the share may look cheap and can jump easily to $5-$6. Meaning you will loss 250-350 points.

If you remember not long ago Barclays was on quite the same situation. The share went down to 45p then the bank said that the situation is not that bad (and proved it with 2008 report) and the share jumped to 120p.

So my advice leave the banks alone for a while. They jump up & down like crazy and the trend is down, but they are too low now to go short. This you should have done on the day Lehman Brothers said long goodbye.

Hi all,

Back in my of a fight back to London I read an article in one of the financial magazine that recommended to buying Barclays the price of the share back then was 338p. Today? 98p after black Friday for the famous British bank. In the last hour of trading the share lost 25%. Barclays is trading on 1993 level. And RBS? even worse 34.7p the bank that on 23/02/2007 was 704p.

In other words banks are trading for pennies. Do they have a chance? One can say that if RBS is just 34.7 it has no where to go down. But in my view it is matter of weeks or even day before the government will take full control and share price will be worth nothing.

Take a look at Citi. Not long ago a friend of mine told me that if the share price is below $10 I should buy. And I did. I bought it when the share was $9.38. On the same day it jumped to $9.90 and I didn’t take profit. Stupid me. It was Friday and I should take 5% profit on one day.

The next Monday the share went down and hit my stop loss at $8.6 on the same week the share went all the way to $4 before the US government  bailed them out. My friend that recommended me to buy did sell and found himself buying more when it was $6 and more when it was $5 and $4.

Yes the share did bounce back and he managed to make small profit but since then it seems that that the end is close for Citi. And Bank of America, and Lloyds TSB and even HSBC. No one safe. Going short is the obvious choice but apart of HSBC no much left to go down. So it is a huge risk.

I am staying put.

Have a nice weekend!