Posts Tagged ‘Dow’

The Dow is 8185 after it has already touched 8250 today. The FTSE 100 is 4189 and the Dax is 4704. Is it the time to sell? I think we are getting near the point when the direction is going to change south. I think that the economies are still in dire situation and there is no real substance for the latest rally.

But the question is when to enter the market and sell? it is a good question which I don’t have the answer but I feel that by somewhere next week the direction will change. It is only guts feeling which you don’t really want to count on but I am quite sure that we will see the FTSE & the Dow below 4000 and 8000 respectably.

What I am going to do is wait and see. Once I see that on both side the atlantic the indexes are down by more than 1% I am in. Selling.

Hello all,

I have bought today a put option on the Dax. Why the Dax? The FTSE 100 didn’t jump as high as the German one or the Dow. While the Dow jumped from 6500 to 8000, and the Dax from 3600 to 4500, the FTSE was much more solid and jumped from 3500 to 4000.

So if I am right and the market will change direction, my logic says that the FTSE will slide slower than the other two. So I left with 2 options. The Dow options seem to me expensive so I’ve decided to choose the German index.

Bought it for 36.3. The lowest price today was 30 but I missed the bottom. I guess you can’t catch the bottom. So I have 4.5 weeks and my target is to double the money. I will keep you updated.

Hi all!

I am not that impressed with the last rally. It is nice to see the market changing direction, but I don’t think that this is the end of the bad period. But I do think that the rally will continue for one or two days depends on the Goldman Sachs results tomorrow. If I am right then I will buy a put option on the FTSE 100 and maybe on the Dow Jones as well.

So I am looking to buy the PUT 3750 for May. I think by Tuesday it should be cheap enough. The nice thing about options is that you know how much you can loss. In fact every time that I buy one I consider it as ‘lost money’ and I am always looking to double my investment. Sometimes it works, sometimes not, but I have more than 50% success which is enough

I’ve bought Tesco shares on Friday. As I said before I do feel that we are near the bottom and it is time to buy good companies. Tesco is one of them. Of course no one knows where the exact bottom will be. We can see the FTSE well below 3000 and it won’t be a big shock for investors. But I try to take a different direction than the market. Buy when everyone sell, sell when everyone buy.

So I buy strong company with low debts and high income. Tesco is one of them. If the share price will fall more, I will buy more. Same with the other shares I have.

Another thing that I want to do is to buy the Dow at 6000 for the long term and check it in two years time. It may be that it won’t touch the 6000 mark or the opposite, it will go down to 4000. But one has to try and calculate when is a good time to enter and I feel around 6000 is good enough for me. 10 years from now I am sure it will worth much more.

…and I am in the FTSE. 19:56 the Dow reached a new low 7150 and the FTSE was already 1.7% down so I thought to limit my risk and opened a long position on the FTSE. I was sure that the Dow will bounce back. But it didn’t. In fact it went down. Through all the day I was looking for the bottom. And each time it went more down. I even ordered to buy it at 7199 and canceled it because I had a bad feeling.

So what do you do with a trade that went against you? I left it open. After all I am only 15 points down, but at some point I was 33. But it is not promising. The S&P 500 broke the 750 support and the down lost 1200 points in less then 2 weeks. But markets don’t go down in straight line and I am sure I will be again in the money, but it is a risky business.

I am going to sleep not happy with my position which is not good…