February 26th, 2009
admin
Hi all,
After black Monday where the Dow hit a new low, it seems that the market is searching for direction. It moves up and down between 7150 to 7400 and change direction very quickly.
This is a good market for short trade because no matter which direction you will choose there is a good chance that if it went against you, it will come back very soon (in a matter of hours in fact)
. You can see it clear on the graph:
it is the same story with the FTSE. The market is on hold and tries to learn what Obama will do next. But it seems that every time that Obama says something the Dow is down. It is not a bad strategy to sell when he speaks
you just need to know his agenda.
I think that the Dow will test a new low around 6500 before it will move up to the 7400-7500 region. But times like this it is hard to predict.
Hi all,
To be honest I thought that Wall st will react better to the new president. I thought that Mr Obama will come with a great speech that will carry Wall st with great optimism all the way up. I was wrong.
When Barak Obama made his speech, the Dow was around 8150 soon after it went down to 8100 and then all the way down to 7950. Great start. So if Obama didn’t understand the task in front of him now he does.
But with banking sector near collapse some analysts talk about the Dow around 6000 and the FTSE has 2 at the beginning. My advice is calculate your risk. If you still want to go long on the market buy put option. Just in case. But put options are expensive these days because no one can see good news in the near feature.
I know that I am willing to take a risk and going to buy Barclays if they touches 65p. At the moment it is 72.95 so I am not far. But this is for long term investment. I think they are one of the few that have a chance to get it through, and if they do, the sky is the limit for this share.
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